{"schemaVersion":"1.1","source":{"system":"Aarogya Grid","country":"IND","contact":"https://github.com/samarthputhraya/aarogya-grid"},"generatedAt":"2026-09-14T04:30:50.059Z","dataThrough":"2026-09-29","sources":[{"provenance":"simulated","description":"Medicine consumption across the simulated primary health network of 769 districts, pinned to a simulated as-of date.","dataThrough":"2026-09-29","signals":1822},{"provenance":"observed","description":"Notified cases and fever consultations by district, read from 242 IDSP daily bulletins published by the State Surveillance Unit, Directorate of Health Services, Kerala.","dataThrough":"2026-09-11","signals":4}],"method":{"detector":"BigQuery AI.DETECT_ANOMALIES","anomalyProbabilityThreshold":0.95,"consecutiveDays":2,"excessAboveUpperBound":0.1,"validation":{"detectionRateAt2x":1,"medianLeadDays":4.58,"falseAlarmsPerAreaWeek":0.446,"precision":0.211,"basis":"126 injected surges across 3 rounds of 42 of 128 districts, 14 days each at multipliers 1.5/2/3. Full table in docs/warning-tuning.md."}},"disclosure":{"dataProvenance":"mixed","note":"Every signal states its provenance. SIMULATED signals come from facility stock and consumption parameterised from IPHS norms and published seasonality, and describe no real outbreak. OBSERVED signals come from notified cases in Kerala's IDSP daily bulletins, each linked to its document and SHA-256; the detector and rule are the same, but their validation figures were measured on simulated surges, not on these series. Nothing here should be acted on clinically."},"signals":[{"id":"sig-835eb0b7","hazardClass":"acute_febrile_illness","hazardLabel":"Fever, outpatient consultations above the expected range","area":{"code":"DST-32-KASARAGO","codeSystem":"aarogya-grid-district","name":"Kasaragod","country":"IND","region":"Kerala","population":1302600},"observedFrom":"2026-09-10","observedTo":"2026-09-11","metric":"outpatient_consultations","observedValue":2485,"expectedUpperBound":1932.1,"exceedanceRatio":1.286,"confidence":"moderate","provenance":"observed","sourceDocument":{"publisher":"State Surveillance Unit, Directorate of Health Services, Government of Kerala","title":"Communicable Diseases - Daily Report (IDSP district-wise daily reporting format), Kerala","url":"https://dhs.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/IDSP-Daily-Report-11.09.2026.pdf","sha256":"bf605399ca62a2243868f4b889fa485a0f51a7267e8d830117cc29c030edbabd"},"local":{"districtCode":"DST-32-KASARAGO","syndrome":"fever"}},{"id":"sig-95872cc0","hazardClass":"enteric","hazardLabel":"Hepatitis A above the expected range","area":{"code":"DST-32-IDUKKI","codeSystem":"aarogya-grid-district","name":"Idukki","country":"IND","region":"Kerala","population":1107453},"observedFrom":"2026-09-02","observedTo":"2026-09-03","metric":"notified_cases","observedValue":2,"expectedUpperBound":1.6,"exceedanceRatio":1.25,"confidence":"moderate","provenance":"observed","sourceDocument":{"publisher":"State Surveillance Unit, Directorate of Health Services, Government of Kerala","title":"Communicable Diseases - Daily Report (IDSP district-wise daily reporting format), Kerala","url":"https://dhs.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/IDSP-Daily-Report-03.09.2026.pdf","sha256":"40c3880e022558d00930a09d5591e9eccbd68a46f7316d912395a7525e433826"},"local":{"districtCode":"DST-32-IDUKKI","syndrome":"hepatitisA"}},{"id":"sig-12fb439e","hazardClass":"vector_borne","hazardLabel":"Malaria (all species) above the expected range","area":{"code":"DST-32-KOLLAM","codeSystem":"aarogya-grid-district","name":"Kollam","country":"IND","region":"Kerala","population":2629703},"observedFrom":"2026-08-19","observedTo":"2026-08-20","metric":"notified_cases","observedValue":2,"expectedUpperBound":1.5,"exceedanceRatio":1.333,"confidence":"moderate","provenance":"observed","sourceDocument":{"publisher":"State Surveillance Unit, Directorate of Health Services, Government of Kerala","title":"Communicable Diseases - Daily Report (IDSP district-wise daily reporting format), Kerala","url":"https://dhs.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/IDSP-Daily-Report-20.08.2026.pdf","sha256":"ade3426594e3d5112af685c3d10f14370cc1ff20a84a9a065d580eabd8092479"},"local":{"districtCode":"DST-32-KOLLAM","syndrome":"malaria"}},{"id":"sig-b940c949","hazardClass":"vector_borne","hazardLabel":"Malaria (all species) above the expected range","area":{"code":"DST-32-KANNUR","codeSystem":"aarogya-grid-district","name":"Kannur","country":"IND","region":"Kerala","population":2525637},"observedFrom":"2026-08-18","observedTo":"2026-08-19","metric":"notified_cases","observedValue":3,"expectedUpperBound":1.7,"exceedanceRatio":1.765,"confidence":"moderate","provenance":"observed","sourceDocument":{"publisher":"State Surveillance Unit, Directorate of Health Services, Government of Kerala","title":"Communicable Diseases - Daily Report (IDSP district-wise daily reporting format), Kerala","url":"https://dhs.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/IDSP-Daily-Report-19.08.2026.pdf","sha256":"5047a8e352800b61894ac2db770ab90836b3e3484e4b17def84fff82b3ecd472"},"local":{"districtCode":"DST-32-KANNUR","syndrome":"malaria"}}],"schema":"/docs/indicator-schema.json"}